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Houston Texans: Week 1: Three things to watch for against the Patriots

Calvin Crawford



The Houston Texans will take on the New England Patriots this Sunday in their Week 1 matchup. What are three things that you should be looking for? Take a look and find out what matters and watch your jaw drop.

Houston Texans @ New England Patriots
My Bookie line – Pats -6.5
Sunday, Sep. 9 at Noon on CBS

Week 1 is finally here Texans fans and there’s no better test for your football team than taking on the five-time World Champions in their house on the opening NFL Sunday. Week 3 of last season the Texans traveled to Foxboro and lost a heartbreaker in the final minute, 36-33, in Deshaun Watson’s 2nd career start. For this week, I’ll be telling you what matchups to watch for, fantasy outlook and gambling advice for this exciting Week 1 matchup.

1) Matchups to watch

Houston’s front 7 vs New England’s offensive line

2018 will be the first season that J.J. Watt, Jadeveon Clowney, and Whitney Mercilus will all be healthy and on the field at the same time together. This Texans’ front seven was certainly the bright spot of the preseason and they’re going up against a suspect Patriots’ offensive line. Getting pressure on Tom Brady will be a very component to winning this game, so look for Watt and company to come out guns blazing.
Houston’s Offensive Line needs to be good, not great.

It’s up for debate, but I believe one of the Texans’ weakest position groups is the offensive line, much like New England. Deshaun Watson has the unique capability of making sub-par offensive lines look better than they look, and if he can extend the play when protection collapses, it should work out in favor for Houston. Look for the Patriots to try to keep Watson in the pocket Sunday.
Houston’s secondary vs. New England’s Receivers

The other weak position group I believe for this team is the secondary, specifically the cornerbacks. Jonathan Joseph is entering his 13th season; Kevin Johnson is made of glass; and newly acquired Kayvon Webster is coming off of a torn Achilles tendon injury. As mentioned above, if Houston’s front 7 cannot get pressure on Brady, he may be able to pick apart these corners towards the sideline. Kareem Jackson and Tyrann Mathieu should hold down the middle of the field.

2) Fantasy outlook

New England:


  • Watson went off last season against this team and I think the same should happen this week.
  • DeAndre Hopkins will do what he does and Will Fuller should also be in your starting lineup, as he had seven touchdowns last season in four. games played with Watson.  It’s early so we’ll see how Houston uses Lamar Miller and Alfred Blue this week, so I would avoid both.
  • Same for tight ends Jordan Akins and Ryan Griffin, I would not start either as it’s too early to predict production.
  • Both defenses should be avoided as this game should be high scoring Kickers for both teams should be a safe bet this week as once again stated above, this game should see plenty of scoring.

3) Gambling advice

As of Thursday night, the line for this game is New England -6.5 and -270 to win, and Houston is +220 to win. Personally, I think Houston at +6.5 is an absolute steal and would at least get action on that.  If you think Houston will win this game outright, snag the parlay of +6.5 and +220. New England is a historically slow-starting team to begin the season and got blown out last year against the Kansas City Chiefs at their home opener in front of the big lights on a Thursday night.

If you’re the Texans and you’re not going to beat the Pats now, when exactly are you going to beat them?  One can only dream that it’s the AFC Championship Game where that occurs. The over/under is 51 points and I think this game will be like last season’s with both teams in the high 20’s or low 30’s, so the over should hit easily.

These 2018 Houston Texans are flying under the radar and could be something special.  A matchup against the defending AFC Champions in Week 1 is a good test to start this season.

Do you agree with my sentiments?  Feel free to sound off in the comments section below.

Interested in writing for Locked on Texans?  Tweet us: @LockedOnTexans, Facebook: Locked On Texans or drop us a line at [email protected]

I graduated from Texas Tech University in the Spring of 2016 with a degree in Sport Management, as in I had no idea what I wanted to do but wanted to be around sports. I’ve always have had a rooting interest in the Texans as they have been secretly consistent these past few years, making the playoffs four times in seven seasons since I was a freshman in college in 2011. I am currently a student at Texas Chiropractic College getting my doctorate in chiropractic, and my medical background has been very helpful covering the NFL and the Texans.

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Houston Texans

Houston Texans at Washington Redskins: Week 11: Three things to watch

Calvin Crawford



Houston Texans
Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Texans will take on the Washington Redskins on the road this Sunday. What are the three most important things to watch? Take a look at what you must zero in on when watching this game.

Houston Texans at Washington Redskins
Sunday, Nov. 18 @ Noon CST on CBS
My Bookie Line: Texans -3
Over/under: 43

After riding a six-game win streak into last week’s bye, the Houston Texans are back in action this week and on the road against the Washington Redskins. Washington has been an up-and-down team this season; they started 2-2 and then won three games in a row, only to get blown out at home against Atlanta in Week 9 but rebound last week at Tampa Bay with a 16-3 win.

Both Houston and Washington are 6-3 overall and lead their divisions abut a loss by either team Sunday will have Tennessee or Dallas hot on their heels in the AFC South and NFC East, respectively. Let’s take a look at matchups, fantasy, and gambling in one of the most intriguing battles in Week 11:


Washington’s O-Line vs. Houston’s front 7

Houston boasts the 6th best rush defense in the league and Washington will be down three starting

Houston Texans

Nov 11, 2018; Tampa, FL, USA; Washington Redskins running back Adrian Peterson (26) runs with the ball against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second half at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

offensive linemen for the foreseeable future; this does not bode well for Adrian Peterson nor Alex Smith. The Skins’ offense doesn’t have a lot of firepower to begin with and now Smith will be forced into a lot of 3rd-and-long throws if Houston can limit Peterson to one to three yards per carry.

Washington only had 16 points against the Buccaneers and that defense is a dumpster fire. In Washington’s three losses Smith had 39+ pass attempts in each game, which is the key for the Houston defense; if Smith has at least 40 pass attempts at the end of the day, then the Texans will walk off winners.

Julie’n Davenport/Kendall Lamm vs. Ryan Kerrigaeston Smith

Although they are not near as disastrous as at the start of the season, this offensive line is still susceptible to talented defenses. They were not able to run the ball against Denver successfully and their offense sputtered in the 2nd half, only scoring a measly three points. This defense does much of the same as the Broncos, especially on the edges with Ryan Kerrigan and Preston Smith.

Von Miller and Bradley Chubb made their presence felt after halftime adjustments and the Texans O-Line didn’t really have an answer. Kerrigan and Smith getting to Watson may attract extra blocking, and that opens up room for players like Daron Payne and Jonathan Allen to win those 1-on-1 matchups and stuff the run or put pressure on Watson themselves. But the Texans are talented enough on the outside to win against the Redskins’ secondary when the run isn’t there, which leads to the third matchup to watch:

DeAndre Hopkins vs. Josh Norman

Hopkins has proven he we will win against every guy that lines up across from him and he has faced extremely talented corners like Stephon Gilmore, Byron Jones as well as Jalen Ramsey. This Sunday is another popcorn ready matchup against Norman and I fully expect Hopkins to win again.

Norman did have an impressive interception last week in Tampa when he came off of his coverage of DeSean Jackson to snag the ball at the goal line when it was overthrown, so Watson needs to avoid those mistakes. Hopkins can get separation and win 50/50 balls week in and week out, and Sunday is just another game for him.


Houston: In all likelihood, a low-scoring affair will be in the cards this weekend and usual players like DeAndre Hopkins or perhaps Keke Coutee coming back from injury will be the beneficiaries of Deshaun Watson‘s touchdown passes.

The only players I would trust is Hopkins and Houston’s defense; Lamar Miller had fewer touches than Alfred Blue against Denver and Washington is tough against the run no matter who is carrying the ball; According to Michael Fabiano of, kicker Ka’imi Fairbairn is not even a good option this week, as the Redskins only give a little more than four field goal points per game to kickers.

Washington: I would sit every fantasy-relevant player this weekend unless you feel good about Washington’s defense. The matchups don’t look good on paper, especially Adrian Peterson with three starting offensive linemen out and this offense doesn’t “wow” you in the fantasy football world when they are fully healthy.


As of this writing, the MyBookie line is currently Houston -3 with the over/under at 43. This line is curious because both teams are 6-3 and the game is in Landover, Md. You would think that Washington would be favored simply because they’re the home team but Houston’s win streak and Washington’s injuries speak volumes.

Two weeks ago I liked Houston -1 at Denver and they narrowly won 19-17, and I liked the over of 46.5 but obviously, that didn’t hit. I really like the under in this game and the Texans -3, with a prediction of 17-10. I don’t know how Washington moves the ball Sunday; they only had 16 points last week against Tampa Bay, literally the worst defense in the league. Washington’s defense will keep them in this game but Houston’s offense will prevail with their weapons.

The Tennessee Titans are surging at the right time and Houston needs to keep winning ball games due to their 0-3 start. If the Texans drop this game and Tennessee wins at Indianapolis, then the Titans are in 1st place because of the tiebreaker. Washington is reeling from injuries and Houston needs to capitalize like they have been during this win streak.

So what are you watching in this week’s matchup in addition to my recommendations?  Feel free to comment in the section below.

Interested in writing for Locked On Texans?  Tweet us: @LockedOnTexans, Facebook: Locked On Texans or drop us a line at [email protected]

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Houston Texans: An early projection of the AFC playoff picture

Brandon Gimpel



Houston Texans
Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Texans continue edge closer to a playoff berth but it’s not a lock just yet. If the playoffs started today, what would be an ideal scenario for this team? Let’s take a look at the best path for the Texans to take.

The Texans currently sit at the top of the AFC South with a 6-3 record with the Tennessee Titans nipping at their heels sitting at 5-4. As it currently stands, the Texans are the No. 4 seed in the AFC playoff picture behind the Kansas City Chiefs, Pittsburgh Steelers and the New England Patriots. If the season were to end today, the Texans would have to play the Los Angeles Chargers, currently the 5th seed, in the Wild Card round. Now if you ask me, the Texans should try to avoid playing the Chargers in the first round of the playoffs.

Here is my ideal scenario for the Texans to make a serious run in the post season:

I believe the teams in the AFC that are absolute locks to make the playoffs this year are the Chiefs, Steelers, Patriots, Texans and Chargers. The sixth seed is where things could get interesting. The Bengals currently hold the sixth spot in the AFC and are notorious for having postseason struggles, especially under head coach Marvin Lewis.

Since Lewis has been at the helm, the Bengals do not have a single playoff win, despite having the talent to do so. Other teams that could sneak into the sixth seed are the Tennessee Titans, Miami Dolphins, or Baltimore Ravens. Ideally, the Texans should really try to set themselves up to play whichever one of the teams I just mentioned.

I believe the Chargers are far better than their current seeding indicates and they also play in the same division as the Kansas City Chiefs who have the AFC’s best record at a sterling 9-1 mark. The Chargers are one of the more dangerous teams in the AFC and if the Texans could avoid playing them in the Wild Card round, the Chargers will have to try their hand at beating the Patriots, likely on their home turf.  Good luck with that notion — they’re going to need it and it’s going to get the Houston Texans ever-closer to their goal of being successful in the postseason.

If the Texans cannot set themselves up to play the sixth-seed team in the Wild Card round, I think the stars will align just right for them to face the Patriots.  Not only that but they will prevail. Yeah, I said it. The Patriots have shown their weaknesses this year and have been extremely volatile, especially on the road. They have had to deal with a lot of injuries, an average-at-best defense along with a weak secondary. If the Texans can play the Patriots in the first round, that game will be a shootout between two of the AFC’s top quarterbacks and that is a game I believe Deshaun Watson can win.

The Texans will definitely be fighting an uphill battle in the postseason but I do believe they belong in the playoffs and are more than capable of making a deep run.

Is this how you think the AFC will shakeout once the dust settles?  Let me know in the comments section below.

Interested in writing for Locked On Texans?  Tweet us: @LockedOnTexans, Facebook: Locked On Texans or drop us a line at [email protected]

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Houston Texans: The projected impact that D’Onta Foreman will make

Brandon Gimpel



Houston Texans
Mandatory Credit: Shanna Lockwood-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Texans have a chance to bolster their offense with D’Onta Foreman returning to practice. What’s his potential impact to the team? Let’s take a look at what we know so far and what could be in store for the future.

Houston Texans running back D’Onta Foreman was officially active in practice today and taken off the Physically Unable to Perform (PUP) list. His first official practice with the team this season marks the 21-day window that the team has to decide if he will rejoin the 53-man roster or be placed on injured reserve for the remainder of the 2018 season.

D’Onta is a 2nd-year running back who played in 10 games before injuring his Achilles against the Arizona Cardinals in November of last year. In that time he had totaled 327 yards and two touchdowns to his credit. Those numbers do not necessarily jump out at you but as a rookie who split carries with Lamar Miller last season, you saw flashes of what Foreman can be as an NFL running back.

Foreman never carried the ball more than 13 times in his rookie campaign and that is likely to be the case if he does make the 53-man roster. He brings a different style of running than Miller or Alfred Blue. He has the ability to break runs for big gains to which I feel is something the Houston Texans backfield currently lacks. He had three separate games last year with runs that went for more than 20 yards. He does not catch the ball out of that area very often but maybe that will change going forward.

The most important thing for D’Onta right now is getting back to full speed. Houston’s offense currently has a good amount of weapons so there is no pressure for him to rush back and try to carry the workload for the offense. He may not even be in shape for full speed scrimmage but that is what the 21-day evaluation window is all about. The doctors and coaching staff need to see if Foreman is healthy and physically ready to get back on the field.

He would most certainly be useful for the Houston Texans’ offense if he active on the roster. Opposing defensive coordinators would have to factor him into their game plan which may open some things up for other players on the offense. He is also capable of having one or two big games if he feels ready to do so. He is a promising young piece to the Texans’ offense and it is important that they take his rehabilitation and re-introduction into the offense slowly and with patience. I predict that Foreman will make the 53-man roster and end the season with 150 yards and a touchdown.

You’ve heard it here first — do you agree?  Let me know in the comments section below.

Interested in writing for Locked On Texans?  Tweet us: @LockedOnTexans, Facebook: Locked On Texans or drop us a line at [email protected]

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Houston Texans: Fantasy Football Week 11: Finding the perfect mix

Andy Rioux



Houston Texans
Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

As the Houston Texans start the second half of the season, what’s the perfect mix to assemble your roster? It’s time to take a look at that plus your top matchups for this week and who to hire/fire from your squad. Listen up.

While the Houston Texans took the week off, their opponents on Sunday, the Washington Redskins, improved to 6-3 by again properly utilizing their time machine strategy.  In this era of football, where defense has become secondary to offense and fans have become accustomed to high-scoring shootouts, the Redskins are content to avoid mistakes, run the ball, and let their defense do the talking.  Critics may call it boring and Washington is not likely to be a serious Super Bowl contender, but they own a two-game lead in the NFC East and represent a formidable foe for Houston this weekend.

In Week 7, Alex Smith threw for 178 yards.  In Week 8, Alex Smith threw for 178 yards.  In Week 10, Alex Smith threw for 178 yards.  If that is not consistency, I do not know what is!  Of course, true to his nature, Smith has thrown a mere three interceptions.  The Houston Texans defense should put up some numbers against Smith and company, but the root of those points will come more from sacks and not turnovers.  Washington’s offensive line has been decimated by injuries.

Adrian Peterson, who looked like vintage Peterson in Week 8 when he rushed for 149 yards and scored twice, has not been as productive since then, but remains Washington’s best fantasy player on the offensive side of the ball.  In one of the better developments for the Redskins, Jordan Reed has finally stayed healthy.  Ironically, his improved health has led to a drop in production.  Reed and Maurice Harris, who is averaging 88 yards over the past two games, are the only other Redskins who might merit a starting assignment.  Players such as Vernon Davis and Josh Doctson have not shown enough consistency.

So should you be scared to start your Houston Texans against the rough Redskins defense?  Not really.  In Week 9, Matt Ryan threw for 350 yards and four touchdowns against Washington.  In Week 10, Ryan Fitzpatrick, also known as Fitzmagic, had 406 yards, but Tampa Bay could not stop themselves from turning the ball over at crucial times.  Deshaun Watson and DeAndre Hopkins will be just fine.  It is the rest of the roster where there would be more questions, especially since Lamar Miller struggled before the bye in Denver.  Washington allows fewer than 100 rushing yards per game, making Miller a risky RB2.  Alfred Blue would be even riskier as a flex.

The return of Keke Coutee could complicate things for Demaryius Thomas, but Thomas showed enough in Denver to merit a start as a WR3, especially now that he has had even more time to get acquainted with Watson and the offense in general.  Owners need to take a wait and see approach with Coutee, but if he can somehow find a way to stay healthy, there are worse players to sign for the stretch run.

This is the last week of serious bye week carnage.  Sure, next week will see the Rams and Chiefs take time off and so many players on those rosters are centerpieces for fantasy teams, but it is still only two teams.  This week, six teams are off.  The entire AFC East (New England, New York Jets, Buffalo, and Miami) are gone along with Cleveland and San Francisco.  Be very cognizant of that, especially later on in this column where we will bring you our Hired/Fired segment where we suggest players to sign and also players to cut from your roster.  As always before we get to that, we present out Take Five segment and look at five of this week’s most intriguing matchups.  Once again, we remind you that some players mentioned in Take Five are capable of being hired or fired and will be looked at there as opposed to during that portion of this column.


Kansas City at Los Angeles Rams:

This is not just a game.  This is the game of the 2018 regular season.  Suffice it to say, it is also a potential Super Bowl preview.  Originally slated to take place in Mexico City, it was moved back to Los Angeles over concerns with field conditions at Azteca Stadium.

The Rams will have to go the rest of the way without their outstanding second-year receiver Cooper Kupp, who suffered a torn ACL in Sunday’s victory over Seattle.  When Kupp was out earlier this year, it meant increased targets for Brandin Cooks and Robert Woods and we would expect the same going forward.  Cooks and Woods were already trustworthy and now they will have even more upside.

Josh Reynolds, who played at Texas A&M and Jay High School in San Antonio, will now be the third receiver for the Rams.  Reynolds will have a lower fantasy trajectory than Woods and Cooks, but he did score two touchdowns back in Week 8 when Kupp was out.  While Reynolds is more of a fill-in player than automatic starter, finding a spot for him on your roster could turn out to be a prudent move.

Even though Reynolds has shown some promise, the loss of Kupp could cause a very slight reduction in Jared Goff’s fantasy value at some point.  You can bet the reduction will not happen this week though.  Todd Gurley remains best in class at his position.

Speaking of best in class, there is Patrick Mahomes.  Mahomes has been so good that when he threw for 249 yards and two touchdowns on Sunday in a win over Arizona, it felt like a letdown.  With points galore expected on Monday, it would not be surprising if Mahomes rebounds and throws for over 300 yards and four touchdowns.

Travis Kelce and Kareem Hunt, who each had somewhat pedestrian days against Arizona, will also rebound.  An interesting subplot to this game will be when Marcus Peters is matched up against Tyreek Hill.  Peters, who was dealt to Los Angeles from Kansas City, has struggled in his first season in Southern California.  Hill, who can run hot and cold to some degree, might be apt to cool down after ambushing Arizona for two scores, but with his former comrade slumping, it could end up being a huge night for Hill.

Sammy Watkins missed the win over Arizona because of a foot issue.  If Watkins returns, return him to your lineup.

Minnesota at Chicago:

Going into the season, many pegged Chicago as an improving team, but one that would likely still finish at the bottom of the NFC North.  Instead, the Bears will clash with the Vikings for first place in a game that was flexed to Sunday Night Football.

As is the case with many young quarterbacks learning a new offense, there have been growing pains with Mitchell Trubisky at times in 2018.  But when Trubisky is clicking on all cylinders, look out.  He was on Sunday against Detroit, throwing for 355 yards and three touchdowns.  Trubisky also added a rushing touchdown.  And many will remember earlier this year when he had six touchdown passes against Tampa Bay.

That said, we do not expect Trubisky to hit those heights as Minnesota’s defense allows 233.3 passing yards per game and has surrendered just 12 touchdown passes.  They throttled Detroit in Week 9 before their bye, sacking Matthew Stafford 10 times.  They also held the Lions out of the end zone.  Trubisky has played well enough overall to be classified as a low-end QB1 even in this daunting matchup, but you could start someone else with more upside.

After missing a couple of games, Allen Robinson returned with a vengeance, lashing the Lions for 133 yards and two touchdowns.  Robinson and rookie Anthony Miller have emerged as Trubisky’s top targets of late.  Miller is worth signing to your squad.  He would be a borderline WR3 for this one while Robinson is more of a solid WR3 with WR2 potential.  Taylor Gabriel, who pitched a shutout on Sunday, has been left behind and can be cut if you are still carrying him on your roster.

Some thought going into the season that Trey Burton would be Chicago’s number one overall receiver.  Because of that, now Burton has been viewed as a disappointment in some circles.  Nevertheless, he has five touchdowns, which is not bad at the tight end position.  Keep believing in Burton as TE1.

Since Chicago had their bye in Week 5, Tarik Cohen has scored a touchdown in every game except one.  We give Cohen the edge over Jordan Howard in this one given Minnesota gives up a miserly 88.9 rushing yards per game.  They may be able to bottle up Howard inside while Cohen makes some plays outside.

One of the few defenses better than Minnesota in terms of rushing yards per game is the Bears, who give up 84 yards and have allowed just two touchdowns.  Dalvin Cook is fully healthy again and will present a serious challenge to the Bears.  Cook will not have RB1 upside, but certainly should be in play as an RB2.  Latavius Murray will be benched in many leagues.  We do not like the idea of cutting Murray though, because he has been productive whenever Cook has been sidelined.

Speaking of healthy, Minnesota should get Stefon Diggs back.  Diggs had 65 yards and a touchdown in his last game against the Bears.  While he has taken a backseat to Adam Thielen, both players can be productive in a tough matchup.  We would be more leery of starting Kirk Cousins, who has generally not reached the heights we thought he was capable of reaching when he signed with Minnesota back in March.  He is very much a fringe QB1.  Kyle Rudolph has fallen off the map and we would have pretty much close to zero confidence in starting him.

Green Bay at Seattle:

They have been NFC powers for a large portion of this decade and have had some memorable battles, but neither the 4-4-1 Packers or 4-5 Seahawks can withstand another loss on Thursday night and expect to make a serious playoff run.

In contrast to Seattle, Green Bay heads into this one with momentum after mashing Miami 31-12.  As you might expect, the big star for the Packers was someone with the first name of Aaron.  Only in this case, it was Aaron Jones.  The second-year runner out of UTEP dismantled the Dolphins by rushing for 145 yards and two touchdowns.  Jones has made a rapid ascension into the RB1 zone and ought to stay there against a Seahawks defense giving up 118.6 rushing yards per game.

As for the other notable Aaron on Green Bay’s offense, Rodgers had a quiet day in the win over the Dolphins, throwing for a modest 199 yards and two touchdowns, both of which went to Davante Adams.  The accomplished Adams has nine touchdowns in nine games.  With Seattle possessing a much better offense in Miami (not to mention more common sense on their coaching staff), the ceilings for both Rodgers and Adams are higher in this one.  Jimmy Graham has not made the impact in Green Bay that many thought he would, but he could have some extra motivation in this clash against his former teammates and owners can grant him another chance.  Rookie Marquez Valdes-Scantling is also a quality option for your lineup.  Injury-plagued and ineffective Randall Cobb is probably no longer worthy of a roster spot.

Two losses to the Rams by a grand total of seven points are the main reason why Seattle is fighting for their playoff lives.   The most recent loss on Sunday, by a score of 36-31, saw rookie running back Rashaad Penny rush for 108 yards and a touchdown on 12 carries and emerge as a player fantasy owners would want to sign.  It was surprising to see Penny be so productive, as it was widely expected Mike Davis would be Seattle’s lead runner with Chris Carson sidelined.  Davis still helped fantasy owners by gathering up 80 total yards and scoring on a short pass from Russell Wilson, but overall, the Seattle backfield has been hard to sort out this year and will be potentially even more confusing with Carson scheduled to return on Thursday.  While Carson has generally been the lead back when healthy, it is possible all three could see some playing time on Thursday.  Any of the trio could help you as a flex, but all three could bust as well.

Wilson had his best day of the season as a runner against Los Angeles, compiling 92 yards.  He also tossed three touchdown passes.  The rushing output and touchdown strikes helped offset the fact he threw for just 176 yards.  Wilson has yet to top 300 passing yards in a game this season thanks to Seattle’s ground-heavy approach.  Nevertheless, he has stayed a QB1 and he will have more upside than usual in this one as Green Bay may end up making a track meet.

It is easy to keep thinking Doug Baldwin will eventually play back to form, but Tyler Lockett continues to be Seattle’s most productive receiver, with 483 yards and seven touchdowns.  Lockett is a clear-cut starter and we would have no issues with using Baldwin as a WR3.  David Moore has just 32 yards in his last two games and is not someone you need to count on.  Tight end Nick Vannett has scored touchdowns in consecutive games, but is in a platoon with Ed Dickson and it is hard to get about either player’s prospects.

Philadelphia at New Orleans:

If the world champion Eagles did not have a sense of urgency prior to their loss to Dallas on Sunday night, they better have it now.  They have fallen to the point where it would be considered a pretty big upset if they were able to stun the 8-1 Saints in the Big Easy.

The decline of the champions is certainly not because of Zach Ertz.  Not many tight ends catch 14 passes for 145 yards and two touchdowns like Ertz did against Dallas.  Ertz will jockey with Travis Kelce for overall TE1 honors the rest of the way.

Ertz’s consistency is highly valued by Carson Wentz, who has thrown for at least two touchdown passes in each of the past six games.  Wentz had a season-high 360 yards in the disappointment against Dallas.  Speaking of disappointments, Golden Tate was a bust in his Philadelphia debut, catching two passes for 19 yards.  Nelson Agholor, who was thought to be impacted most negatively by the Tate acquisition, mustered up 83 yards on five receptions.  Agholor even outperformed Alshon Jeffery, who pulled in four passes for 48 yards.

We are definitely not advocating Agholor as an option this week since he has not scored a touchdown since Week 2.  It is just a reminder that he has an edge in knowing the system over Tate.  Neither needs to be started even though this could turn into a high-scoring affair.  We would keep the faith with Jeffery as a WR2.

When Jay Ajayi was lost for the season, there was a mad scramble by owners throughout the fantasy world to sign Corey Clement and Wendell Smallwood.  Of late, both Clement and Smallwood have been outplayed by Josh Adams, a rookie from Notre Dame.  Averaging 5.7 yards per carry, Adams is the Philadelphia back who needs to be on your team.  There has been talk he will start getting more work, which would take Clement and Smallwood off the flex radar and make them droppable.

The Saints generated a lot of headlines last week by signing Dez Bryant.  Unfortunately, a torn Achilles sidelined Bryant for the season, leading New Orleans to sign another veteran receiver in Brandon Marshall.  Marshall, who played briefly for Seattle earlier in the season, probably will not receive a lot of heavy volume behind Michael Thomas.  However, if Marshall can show the red zone prowess he has in the past, he could eventually offer some value as we get into the fantasy playoffs.  We would try to wait until Marshall settles in to sign him to our roster.  His presence hurts rookie Tre’Quan Smith and erratic tight end Ben Watson, who either seems to score a touchdown or is completely ignored.

Mark Ingram produced his best day of the season in Week 10’s 52-14 blowout of the Cincinnati Bengals, accumulating 162 total yards and a touchdown.  Alvin Kamara is still the best back in New Orleans and one of the best players in fantasy, but it was a reminder that Ingram can be a big contributor as well.

However, this game sets up as one where the Saints will probably feature Kamara even more than usual.  Philadelphia is more vulnerable against the pass than the run, especially now that cornerback Ronald Darby is out for the season with a torn ACL.  Kamara is not regularly covered by corners, but the overall impact to Philadelphia’s defense sets up very nicely for the New Orleans aerial attack.  Red-hot Drew Brees and Michael Thomas should be able to feast again at the Superdome.

Tennessee at Indianapolis:

We are including this game partly because it will have a direct impact on the Houston Texans, but also because both of these teams have become a lot more interesting of late.  Tennessee, now 5-4, has won two in a row, including Sunday’s highly impressive 34-10 triumph over New England.  Indianapolis has won three in a row and their 29-26 victory over Jacksonville pretty much completely eliminated the Jaguars from the AFC South race.

Even if the 4-5 Colts are unable to sustain their success and pull of an improbable playoff run, the fact that Andrew Luck is looking like a franchise quarterback again makes this a great season in Indianapolis.  And the fantasy owners who gambled on Luck have been richly rewarded.  Luck has already thrown 26 touchdown passes.  He threw a career-high 40 touchdowns in 2014 and is on pace to exceed that total.

Once a dud in Detroit, Eric Ebron has already scored 10 touchdowns (nine receiving, one rushing).  Ebron’s stat lines were projected to plunge once Jack Doyle returned from injury, but it was Ebron who scored three touchdowns in the win over Jacksonville while Doyle was held to 36 yards on three catches.  However, Doyle is certainly capable of winning weeks over Ebron.  While most NFL teams do not even have one TE1, Indianapolis has two.  Even seldom-used fellow tight end Mo Alie-Cox has found the end zone over the past two games, though he is way more of a potential detriment to Doyle and Ebron than someone you want to sign to your roster.

Although he has not had one of his classic “win a week” games yet this year, T.Y. Hilton remains Luck’s BFF among Indy’s wide receivers.  Despite missing a couple of contests, Hilton’s four touchdowns already match his entire total from last year.  Hilton is a firm WR2.  None of the rest of the wideouts in Indianapolis such as Ryan Grant, Chester Rogers, and Dontrelle Inman have any fantasy value.

Marlon Mack disappeared against Jacksonville with just 38 total yards, but he had rushed for over 100 yards in both of Indianapolis’ previous victories and totaled four touchdowns. You can expect a rebound into RB2 territory.  Nyheim Hines and Jordan Wilkins have faded into waiver wire fodder.

Marcus Mariota has teased fantasy owners before, who often get burned for believing in him.  He has played well of late along with the rest of the Titans, throwing for 228 yards and a couple of touchdowns in the win over New England.  His numbers would have been higher had the game been closer.  With this contest expected to be tight and the Colts capable of compiling some points, Mariota makes a slightly more appealing streamer.  He has at least worked his way back to QB2 status after landing on waivers in many leagues earlier this year.

Corey Davis snagged seven passes for 125 yards and a touchdown against New England.  Davis is easily Tennessee’s top receiver and a must-start in Indianapolis.  There is really no one else to consider outside of possibly tight end Jonnu Smith, who has found the end zone the last couple of weeks but has not been heavily utilized.  Until Smith gets more volume, he should not be a waiver target.

Dion Lewis, who is second on the Titans in receptions, has been getting the majority of work in the Tennessee backfield.  That did not stop Derrick Henry from rushing for a pair of scores during the rout of the Patriots.  It is still far easier to count on Lewis as an RB2 while Henry is more of a flex who needs game flow and goal line carries to go his way.


Welcome to Hired/Fired, our weekly rundown of who you need to bring onto your roster and who you need to release, or at least banish to your bench.


QB Eli Manning, New York Giants – The Eli era is definitely on the verge of ending in the Big Apple.  Nonetheless, Manning conjured up some magic on Monday night in a comeback win over San Francisco and now gets a matchup with Tampa Bay’s frequently toasted defense.

As an aside, there has been much debate over New York not taking a quarterback in the first round of April’s draft.  But if the Giants pull the trigger on a signal caller in 2019, think of all the talent that quarterback will get to work with.  There are superstars in Saquon Barkley and Odell Beckham Jr.  Evan Engram is a quality tight end and Sterling Shepard is another solid receiver.  Compare and contrast that with the garbage supporting cast Buffalo forced Josh Allen to work with this year.  The Giants may yet end up playing this just right.

QB Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens – This is contingent on Jackson getting significant playing time down the stretch.    If he does, his dual-threat skills could give your group a major lift.

RB Theo Riddick, Detroit Lions – Riddick last received a carry in Week 5, but has 13 receptions in his last two games.  If Marvin Jones misses Sunday’s tilt with Carolina, someone is going to have to help Kenny Golladay in a game where the Lions will probably be playing from behind.  Ultimately, Riddick has more value in PPR leagues.  This may be a week where he can pitch in some in standard formats as well.

RB Cameron Artis-Payne, Carolina Panthers – If you have Christian McCaffrey and want his handcuff on your roster, it is now Artis-Payne after the Panthers waived C.J. Anderson.

Arizona Cardinals’ defense – The Cardinals are a classic one-hit wonder as they will be playing the Raiders on Sunday.

Baltimore Ravens’ defense – If Baltimore has been dropped in your league, they get a favorable matchup with reeling Cincinnati this week and then they will have the Raiders next week.


QB Josh McCown, New York Jets – If you added McCown with the hopes he could rekindle the same magic he showed at times in 2017, it is time to bail and bail fast.  Sam Darnold’s status after New York’s bye is unknown at the moment, but McCown looked horrible against Buffalo.

RB Le’Veon Bell, future destination unknown – If you are in a dynasty league, you need to hang onto Bell and see what happens in 2019.  If you are in a redraft league, it is officially time to no longer waste a roster spot on Bell.

RB Carlos Hyde, Jacksonville Jaguars – As far as third-string running backs go, Hyde is clearly way better than most.  But he is going to be in that spot as long as Leonard Fournette and T.J. Yeldon are healthy.

RB LeGarrette Blount, Detroit Lions – Kerryon Johnson and Theo Riddick are outplaying Blount, who gave way to Johnson on the goal line last weekend in Chicago.  If Blount is failing at the goal line, he will not help you in any other way.

F Carmelo Anthony, Houston Rockets – Since we know some of you out there also play fantasy basketball, we thought we would offer a non-football recommendation as a courtesy.  You’re welcome.

Where do you stand this week and what do think about my assessments?  Go on and comment in the section below.

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